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Item #9

New Definition of Metabolic Syndrome Improves Risk Prediction With Diabetes and CHD

According to new report, using a modified version of the National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP) definition, diagnosis of metabolic syndrome predicts an increased risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) and new-onset diabetes in men.

The new definition, therefore, appears useful in identifying people who could benefit from lifestyle changes to prevent these diseases, lead author Dr. Naveed Sattar, from the Glasgow Royal Infirmary in the UK, and colleagues note. The findings are published in the July 29th issue of Circulation: Journal of the American Heart Association.
Under the NCEP definition, metabolic syndrome also known as syndrome X is diagnosed if at least three of five criteria are present: increase waist circumference, elevated triglyceride levels, low HDL cholesterol levels, increased blood glucose levels, and hypertension. In the new study, Dr. Sattar's team used BMI instead of waist circumference.

The previous definition, which was created by the World Health Organization, was more complex and relied heavily on evidence of glucose dysregulation. The problem was that by the time such dysregulation was present, the opportunity for preventing diabetes was limited, the researchers note.

Dr. Sattar's group followed more than 5000 men for nearly 5 years to assess the incidence of CHD and diabetes. At baseline, all of the subjects were evaluated for metabolic syndrome based on the modified definition.

Twenty-six percent of the men met criteria for metabolic syndrome, the authors note. Overall, such men were 76% more likely to develop CHD and 3.5-times more likely to develop diabetes than were men without the disorder. When the analysis was limited to men with four or five criteria, the increased risks were even more dramatic--a 3.7-fold increase for CHD and a 24.4-fold increase for diabetes (p < 0.0001 for both).

The diabetes finding is particularly striking because currently there are fewer predictive screening charts to identify people at high risk of becoming diabetic than there are for CHD, he says.

Interestingly, the cholesterol-lowering drug seemed equally beneficial for men with and without the metabolic syndrome. It reduced the risk of CHD by 27 percent in those with metabolic syndrome and 31 percent in those without it, he says.

Sattar’s group also looked at another variable, the inflammatory marker C-reactive protein (CRP) that other studies have linked to the development of heart disease and diabetes. They found that CRP levels were higher in the men with the metabolic syndrome than in those without it and improved the ability to predict both diabetes and CHD. Circulation 2003;108:000-000.

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